AI for Real‑Estate Buyers: Deal Memos from Listings

AI for Real‑Estate Buyers: Deal Memos from Listings

How to Write a Buyer’s Deal Memo for Marketplaces and SaaS

Create concise, repeatable deal memos that speed decisions and reduce risk — templates, data sources, automation tips, and a ready checklist to implement today.

Buy-side deal memos summarize a target’s value, risks, and investment thesis so stakeholders can decide quickly. This guide shows what to include, how to extract and automate data, run sensitivity scenarios, and embed memos into your process.

  • TL;DR: essential memo elements, data sources, automated comps, risk scenarios, templates, and workflow integration.
  • Practical examples and compact tables for valuation inputs and metrics.
  • Common pitfalls, remedies, and an implementation checklist to operationalize memos.

Quick answer — one-paragraph summary

Use a one-paragraph “quick answer” at the top that states the deal type, ask/offer, headline valuation range, three primary value drivers, and the top 1–2 risks and mitigations — this gives executives the short conclusion they need to act.

What a buyer’s deal memo must include

Keep memos lean and structured so readers can scan and then dive where needed. Aim for a single page summary + 2–4 annexes (financials, cap table, diligence checklist, model).

  • Header: Target name, date, author, deal stage, recommendation (pass/hold/buy +/-).
  • Quick answer: One-paragraph verdict (see earlier section).
  • Investment thesis & value drivers: 3 bullets describing why this business is attractive.
  • Key financials & KPIs: ARR, revenue run-rate, growth %, LTV:CAC, gross margin, churn, CAC payback, EBITDA (or adjusted).
  • Valuation range & comps: multiple-based and DCF ranges, top comps and rationale.
  • Risks & mitigations: 3–5 material risks and specific mitigations or contingency triggers.
  • Deal terms & structure: proposed price, earnouts, escrow, key covenants, closing conditions.
  • Action items & timeline: next steps, owners, deadlines.
  • Annexes: supporting data extracts, model, diligence checklist, legal exceptions.

Extract and structure listing data (sources & tools)

Accurate, structured data is the backbone of a deal memo. Collect raw inputs, normalize them, and store them in a central place for reuse.

  • Primary sources: seller-provided data room (revenue by month, MRR, churn cohorts), accounting exports (CSV/QuickBooks/Xero), analytics (GA/Amplitude/Segment), payment processors (Stripe/Paddle), and marketing platforms.
  • Public sources for comps: Crunchbase, PitchBook, BuiltWith, SimilarWeb, AppAnnie/Store metrics, and marketplace listing history (Flippa, MicroAcquire copies).
  • Verification tools: Plausibility checks via bank statements, Stripe/PayPal reconciliations, and basic forensic checks (login timestamps, user lists sampled with NDAs).
  • Data tools: ETL into Google Sheets or a small warehouse (BigQuery/Snowflake) and use data connectors (Stitch/Fivetran) for repeated pulls.
Common data sources and what to extract
SourceKey extracts
Seller data roomARR/MRR by month, customer list, contracts
Stripe/PaymentsGross receipts, refunds, churn by customer
AnalyticsActivation funnel, retention cohorts
Public compsRecent sale prices, revenue multiples

Automate valuation and comps (methods & metrics)

Automating valuation calculations reduces human error and speeds iteration. Build templates that accept normalized inputs and output ranges, sensitivities, and rationale notes.

  • Valuation methods to automate: revenue multiple approach (ARR × multiple range), precedent comps, and a simple DCF with 3–5 year forecast plus terminal value.
  • Key metrics to feed models: ARR, YoY growth, gross margin, churn, CAC, LTV, NRR, and EBITDA adjustments.
  • Multiples: derive a multiple distribution from 5–10 nearest comps, then show median, 25th, 75th percentiles rather than a single number.
  • Model outputs: implied purchase price ranges, implied IRR (if modeling returns), payback months, and sensitivity tables.
Minimal automated valuation inputs and outputs
InputOutput
ARRImplied value at median multiple
Growth %DCF revenue path
ChurnNRR & customer-driven adjustments

Assess risks and run scenarios (sensitivity analysis)

Quantify how sensitive valuation and returns are to changes in core inputs. Present scenario tables that executives can scan quickly.

  • Define base, downside, and upside scenarios (inputs for growth, churn, margin, multiple).
  • Run tornado charts or simple sensitivity tables showing valuation vs. +/- 10–30% changes in each input.
  • Model triggers tied to deal structure: e.g., if churn rises above X% or revenue declines Y% then reduce earnout or extend escrow.
Example scenario outputs
ScenarioValueNotes
Upside$4.5M20% faster growth, 10% lower churn
Base$3.0MProjected metrics
Downside$1.8M10% negative growth surprise

Craft repeatable prompts & memo templates

Templates and prompts make memos consistent and allow junior analysts to produce usable drafts fast. Combine a fillable memo plus a set of automation prompts.

  • Memo template fields: header, quick answer, thesis bullets, key metrics table, valuation range, risks, terms, action items, annex list.
  • Automated prompt examples: “Summarize top 3 revenue drivers from this CSV and list months with >10% YoY growth.” Use tools that accept CSV or JSON inputs.
  • Use prompt snippets for generative summarization of user reviews, churn reasons, or feature requests to surface qualitative risks.
Example prompt:
"Given monthly MRR CSV, output ARR, last-12-month growth %, average churn, and 3-month trend summary in bullets."

Integrate into your workflow (tools, automation, roles)

Decide ownership, cadence, and tools: who prepares the memo, who signs off, and which systems host the canonical memo and model.

  • Roles: Analyst (data extraction & draft), Associate (modeling & scenario), Partner/Head (final recommendation & signatures), Legal (terms & diligence exceptions).
  • Tools: Google Sheets or a BI tool for live models, Notion/Confluence for memo hosting, Slack/email automation for notifications, and Git-like versioning for models where possible.
  • Automation: scheduled pulls for active listings, Git-style PR review for memo updates, and templates in your CRM for attaching memos to opportunities.

Common pitfalls and how to avoid them

  • Pitfall: Overloading memos with raw data. Remedy: Keep one-page summary and put raw extracts in annexes or data store.
  • Pitfall: Relying on single comp or multiple. Remedy: Use a comp distribution and show percentile ranges.
  • Pitfall: Unverified revenue. Remedy: Reconcile payments, bank statements, and run sampled user verification under NDA.
  • Pitfall: Missing operational risks (concentration, single engineer). Remedy: Add operational checklist and mitigation terms (escrow/earnout).
  • Pitfall: No process ownership. Remedy: Assign roles and enforce cadence with templates and deadlines.

Implementation checklist

  • Create a one-page memo template and annex structure.
  • Build a normalized data ingestion (Sheets or warehouse) for repeated pulls.
  • Automate valuation template with multiple and DCF tabs.
  • Define roles & SLAs for memo production and sign-off.
  • Establish verification steps for revenue and key customers.
  • Set up scenario/sensitivity outputs and tie them to deal terms (escrow/earnout triggers).

FAQ

  • Q: How long should a memo take to prepare?

    A: With templates and verified inputs, initial drafts should take 1–2 days; full diligence may take weeks.
  • Q: Which valuation method is best?

    A: Use both multiples (market signal) and a simple DCF (cashflow logic) and present a combined range.
  • Q: How many comps are enough?

    A: Aim for 5–10 nearest comps; fewer if no close matches, but always show distribution, not just a single comparable.
  • Q: Should memos include raw customer data?

    A: No — include summarized metrics and provide raw data under NDA in annexes or the data room.
  • Q: How to handle conflicting seller data?

    A: Flag discrepancies, prioritize verified payment/accounting sources, and list unresolved items as diligence contingencies.